New job forecast of the Brookings Institution – now it’s the turn of the white collars to take action23. November 2019
New job forecast of the Brookings Institution – now it’s the turn of the white collars to take action
New York, 22.11.2019
Again an analysis about the effects of the use of AI on the workplaces. This time a new approach. And the study comes from the renowned Brookings- Institution( analysis by the Brookings Institution.). Yes, some „white collars“ will be surprised. Here is the result:
The hint that the AI could interfere with work in virtually every occupational group is not a nuisance. But what comes next is noteworthy: Research results so far show that less educated employees and low-wage earners belong to the group most frequently affected by job losses. However, Brookings‘ analysis suggests that
1. better educated and better paid workers (together with workers in manufacturing and production) will be most affected by new CI technologies, with some exceptions.
2. workers with tertiary or vocational qualifications are almost four times more exposed to CIs than workers with only one tertiary degree.
3. Bachelor degree holders are the most vulnerable in terms of educational attainment, more than five times as vulnerable as workers with only one tertiary degree.
AI will be an essential factor in the future working life of relatively well paid managers, superiors and analysts.
5. factory workers are also exposed, who are increasingly well trained in many occupations and are intensively involved with AI in production.
6. Artificial intelligence can be a much smaller factor in the work of most less paid service workers.
Note: Let us not forget that it is impossible to accurately predict the future. The forecasts for job development therefore range from a 47% decline ( cull of 47% of US jobs ) to the thesis that there will be a balance between destroyed and emerging jobs. What conclusion should be drawn from this? Quite simply: EVERYONE should assume that his job will become superfluous.